Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000640 0.000683 0.000727 0.000777 0.000829 0.000884 0.000946
2025-11-02 0.000568 0.000627 0.000692 0.000765 0.000847 0.000937 0.001041
2025-11-09 0.000508 0.000578 0.000655 0.000746 0.000851 0.000969 0.001112
2025-11-16 0.000467 0.000544 0.000631 0.000737 0.000863 0.001009 0.001190
2025-11-23 0.000439 0.000522 0.000618 0.000738 0.000885 0.001058 0.001279
2025-11-30 0.000413 0.000501 0.000604 0.000736 0.000899 0.001098 0.001358
2025-12-07 0.000392 0.000483 0.000592 0.000734 0.000914 0.001137 0.001436
2025-12-14 0.000369 0.000462 0.000575 0.000725 0.000919 0.001163 0.001496
2025-12-21 0.000349 0.000443 0.000560 0.000716 0.000922 0.001186 0.001554
2025-12-28 0.000325 0.000417 0.000534 0.000692 0.000904 0.001180 0.001571
2026-01-04 0.000307 0.000399 0.000516 0.000678 0.000898 0.001189 0.001608
2026-01-11 0.000295 0.000388 0.000509 0.000677 0.000909 0.001221 0.001677
2026-01-18 0.000284 0.000379 0.000503 0.000679 0.000926 0.001263 0.001766
2026-01-25 0.000270 0.000364 0.000490 0.000671 0.000928 0.001285 0.001827
2026-02-01 0.000254 0.000347 0.000472 0.000654 0.000917 0.001289 0.001862
2026-02-08 0.000243 0.000335 0.000461 0.000647 0.000920 0.001311 0.001924
2026-02-15 0.000235 0.000327 0.000456 0.000648 0.000934 0.001350 0.002013
2026-02-22 0.000226 0.000319 0.000449 0.000646 0.000943 0.001381 0.002091
2026-03-01 0.000218 0.000311 0.000442 0.000644 0.000953 0.001414 0.002173
2026-03-08 0.000209 0.000301 0.000432 0.000636 0.000952 0.001431 0.002230
2026-03-15 0.000201 0.000292 0.000423 0.000629 0.000952 0.001447 0.002288
2026-03-22 0.000189 0.000277 0.000405 0.000608 0.000929 0.001428 0.002285
2026-03-29 0.000181 0.000267 0.000393 0.000596 0.000920 0.001431 0.002317